I am proud of my estimation abilities.
And someone else in SF thinks Nancy Pelosi is a total pushover.
DownsizeDC.org added Congressional District tools to their website, and the
first step they require is that you estimate how many DC Downsizers you
would need in your district for your Representative to start doing what you
ask. Nancy Pelosi does not like libertarians -- not even one tiny little
bit -- but she's also a politician who needs votes, so I estimated 10,000 of
us would be needed before she got the clue that ignoring our voices would
cost her an election.
DownsizeDC responded:
Based on *453* estimates, the average recruitment goal chosen by DC
Downsizers in all districts is *10,092* (updated hourly).
If DownsizeDC's theory about the "wisdom of crowds" is right, and that
"wisdom" says 10,092 is the right number, then my guess of 10,000 was pretty
darn good.
But here's what DownsizeDC had to say about our district:
Based on *2* estimates, the average recruitment goal chosen by DC Downsizers
in CA-8 is *5,050*.
It's pretty easy math to figure out that the other person estimated 100.
I'm betting Pelosi could have her 100 highest historical campaign donors
tell her to do something, and if she didn't want to do it, she'd still
ignore them. That's how entrenched she is.
But here's the important news:
- DC Downsizers in CA-8: *142*
- Letters to Congress from CA-8
This month: *60*
Last month: *135*
This year: *273*
Last year: *1,394*
I think this makes clear that we have our work cut out for us in San
Francisco (and yes, I'm moving away, but I also just sent Kai a floorplan
for a new condo building in our neighborhood, because I have every intention
of moving back within 5 years). So WE need to radically increase the number
of DC Downsizers in San Francisco, if indeed the "wisdom" of 10,000 is
correct, and we only have 142.
So, any ideas how we do that?
Rob